Forex, Komoditas Indeks FXCM Awards 1 Dalam beberapa kasus, akun untuk klien perantara tertentu dikenai markup. Akun Demo: Meskipun akun demo mencoba meniru pasar nyata, mereka beroperasi di lingkungan pasar simulasi. Dengan demikian, ada perbedaan utama yang membedakannya dari akun sebenarnya, namun tidak terbatas pada, kurangnya ketergantungan pada likuiditas pasar real-time, penundaan penetapan harga, dan ketersediaan beberapa produk yang mungkin tidak dapat diperdagangkan di akun live. Kemampuan operasional saat mengeksekusi pesanan di lingkungan demo dapat mengakibatkan atipikal, memperlancar transaksi karena tidak adanya perintah yang ditolak dan atau tidak adanya selip. Mungkin ada contoh di mana persyaratan margin berbeda dari akun live karena pembaruan akun demo mungkin tidak selalu sesuai dengan akun sebenarnya. Peringatan Resiko: Layanan kami mencakup produk yang diperdagangkan dengan margin dan menanggung risiko kerugian melebihi dana yang Anda setorkan. Produk mungkin tidak cocok untuk semua investor. Harap pastikan bahwa Anda benar-benar memahami risiko yang terkait. Pasar Asia Melemah pada Kelemahan Dolar AS, Keberadaan Flynn Dolar AS yang lebih lemah dan kerugian awal dari seorang pemegang saham utama Donald Trump melihat bursa Asia di tepi Dolar Australia sangat bullish berkat bisnis yang optimis. Survei kepercayaan Sekarang lantai milik s ke Ketua Federal Reserve Janet Yellen Nikkei 225 menjadi korban melemahnya Dolar AS pada hari Selasa, membuat hidup sulit bagi saham regional secara lebih umum. Greenback pada gilirannya layu sebagai penasehat utama presiden yang mengundurkan diri. Penasihat Keamanan Nasional Presiden Donald Trumprsquos Michael Flynn mengundurkan diri setelah kurang dari sebulan di belakang meja kerja, di tengah kekhawatiran atas kontak Rusia-nya. Dolar AS tergelincir terhadap sebagian besar saingan utama, dengan Dollar Australia didukung dengan sangat baik. Itu berkat survei kepercayaan bisnis yang optimis dari negara asalnya. Data Asia lainnya tipis di lapangan namun pasar melihat angka inflasi resmi Januarirsquos dari China. Ini jauh lebih kuat dari yang diperkirakan pada tingkat konsumen dan tingkat pabrik, namun badan statistik tersebut memperingatkan bahwa harga mungkin telah terdorong menguat menjelang jeda bulan Imlek yang baru Februarirsquos daripada dari kekuatan inheren dan tahan lama. Nikkei ditutup turun 1,13. Toshiba menambah kesengsaraannya, jatuh 7 setelah mengatakan bahwa hal itu belum bisa diumumkan saat pendapatan kuartal keempat 2016 akan dilepas. Patokan Australiarsquos ASX 200 ditutup hanya lima poin lebih rendah, namun kelemahan sederhana itu menutupi sebuah slide dari jauh di awal musim hijau di sesi tersebut. Acara besar dayrsquos kemungkinan akan menjadi kesaksian Kongres Federal Janet Yellenrsquos. Pasar saat ini menetapkan harga sekitar 30 kemungkinan suku bunga AS akan naik bulan depan, seperti pada sebagian besar tahun ini. Investor akan sangat membutuhkan petunjuk mengenai kemungkinan itu, dan apakah prognosis Fedrsquos December tetap utuh. Ketika itu, perkiraan awal bank sentral adalah bahwa suku bunga akan naik tiga kali di tahun 2017. Di tengah melemahnya Dollar AS, AS dan harga minyak mentah Brent pulih dari penurunan 2 yang telah turun ke indikasi meningkatnya output serpih AS dan apresiasi USD sebelumnya. . Indeks Dolar AS mencapai tertinggi tiga minggu pada hari Senin di atas posisi 111, namun telah tergelincir sejak saat itu. Apakah Anda ingin tahu lebih banyak tentang perdagangan pasar valuta asing Panduan perdagangan DailyFX adalah pemberhentian pertama yang hebat. --- Ditulis oleh David Cottle, DailyFX Research Contact dan ikuti David di Twitter: DavidCottleFX DailyFX memberikan berita forex dan analisis teknis mengenai tren yang mempengaruhi pasar mata uang global.5 Peristiwa Kalender Ekonomi Teratas untuk 711 November Bagian pertama minggu ini, Setidaknya, akan didominasi oleh politik karena kampanye pemilihan Presiden dan Kongres AS berada di tengah panggung. Setelah satu minggu meraih berita utama, pasar akan tetap waspada terhadap wahyu dan tikungan menit-menit terakhir dalam kampanye. Harus ada sedikit ketenangan jika Clinton menang, sementara kemenangan untuk Partai Republik Trump akan menyebabkan reaksi serupa terhadap seruan referendum Inggris dengan ketidakpastian besar mengenai dampak tersebut. Tren risk appetite tentu akan sangat penting selama minggu depan. 1. Pemilihan Presiden AS Pemilihan Presiden AS akan diselenggarakan pada tanggal 8 November. Pemilu Kongres untuk sepertiga Senat dan semua Dewan Perwakilan Rakyat juga akan diadakan pada hari yang sama. Baru sepekan yang lalu, pesaing Demokrat Clinton tampaknya akan meraih kemenangan nyaman atas Partai Republik Trump, terutama di Electoral College. Ada sentakan besar dalam harapan menyusul pengumuman FBI bahwa mereka telah membuka kembali penyelidikan atas e-mail yang dikirim oleh Clinton saat dia menjabat sebagai Sekretaris Negara. Jajak pendapat secara keseluruhan masih memberi Clinton keunggulan dalam hal nasional dan kerusakan masing-masing negara juga harus mendukung Clinton, namun penyempitan keseluruhan jajak pendapat dan perlombaan yang ketat telah mengganggu kepercayaan pasar. Ada juga sejumlah besar pemungutan suara awal, yang seharusnya memberi keunggulan penting bagi Clinton, namun jumlah pemilih secara keseluruhan dapat memainkan peran penting. Hasil akan dinyatakan negara bagian oleh negara, yang akan menyuntikkan tingkat drama dan ketidakpastian yang sangat tinggi jika ada kontes yang dekat. Pasar akan mewaspadai pergeseran ekspektasi selama proses penghitungan karena negara-negara individu menyatakan, walaupun tentu saja masih ada persaingan yang sangat sepihak dalam persyaratan pemilihan-perguruan tinggi. Pemilihan kongres akan menjadi penting, terutama karena akan membentuk hubungan antara Presiden dan Kongres yang baru. Akan ada potensi konflik kebijakan jika Kepresidenan dan Kongres terbagi lagi antara partai-partai. Make-up Kongres juga akan memiliki implikasi yang berpotensi penting bagi penunjukan Federal Reserve. 2. China Trade Report Perdagangan China terbaru akan dirilis pada hari Selasa 8 November waktu setempat (sekitar 22:00 EST Senin). Data perdagangan China akan menjadi fokus penting bulan ini, terutama setelah rilis yang jauh lebih lemah dari yang diperkirakan bulan lalu. Dalam dolar, terjadi penurunan ekspor menjadi 10,0 pada tahun ini, sementara impor turun 1,9. Secara yuan, terjadi peningkatan impor tahunan, meski ekspor turun 5,6, penurunan pertama selama enam bulan. Kelemahan berkelanjutan dalam volume perdagangan akan meningkatkan kekhawatiran seputar prospek China dan global. Namun, data PMI terbaru lebih kuat dari perkiraan, baik untuk data resmi dan data Caixin. Tren yang lebih kuat di sektor industri Cina harus mendukung impor, terutama karena ada bukti permintaan minyak yang kuat. Hasil yang paling mungkin terjadi adalah akan terjadi pemulihan impor untuk bulan Oktober, sementara tren ekspor masih mengecewakan. Setiap peningkatan volume perdagangan akan membantu mendukung selera risiko global. Ada juga rilis penting lainnya China karena data terbaru tentang cadangan mata uang, kemungkinan akan dirilis pada 7 November, sementara data pinjaman baru dapat dirilis akhir minggu ini. Pembacaan inflasi juga dijadwalkan pada 9 November. 3. Keputusan Tingkat Nasional Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Keputusan kebijakan moneter RBNZ terbaru akan dirilis pada hari Kamis waktu setempat (16:00 EST Rabu). Ada harapan kuat di antara bank investasi bahwa RBNZ akan memotong Official Cash Rate (OCR) lagi pada pertemuan ini untuk membantu memenuhi perkiraan inflasi. Namun ada laporan ketenagakerjaan yang lebih kuat dari perkiraan dalam data kuartalan terakhir. Pelelangan susu terbaru juga mencatat kenaikan harga yang kuat, yang juga akan mengurangi tekanan untuk penurunan suku bunga untuk memperbaiki persyaratan perdagangan. Akan ada perubahan signifikan dari pertemuan ini dengan RBNZ mempublikasikan ramalannya untuk OCR. Jalur yang diproyeksikan untuk suku bunga dapat memiliki dampak signifikan pada dolar Selandia Baru karena pasar menilai ekspektasi jangka menengah. RBNZ Governor Wheeler juga akan mengadakan konferensi pers menyusul keputusan tersebut. 4. Wakil Ketua Fed Fischer Speech Federal Reserve Wakil Ketua Fischer akan berbicara pada hari Jumat tanggal 11 November di Santiago pada pukul 04:00 EST via satelit. Komentar dari para pembicara Federal Reserve akan terus diawasi ketat dalam jangka pendek. Komentar ini akan berpotensi penting karena merupakan pidato pertama yang dijadwalkan oleh pejabat utama Fed setelah pemilihan Presiden dan Kongres AS. Tidak dapat dipungkiri ada tingkat keengganan yang tinggi untuk membuat komentar kebijakan substantif menjelang pemungutan suara, namun Fed sekarang akan dibebaskan dan dapat membuat komentar kebijakan yang lebih rinci jika ingin memberikan panduan yang lebih jelas. Pasar akan mencari komentar spesifik mengenai keputusan kebijakan bulan Desember dan setiap komentar jangka panjang seputar kemungkinan kebijakan pada tahun 2017. 5. Laporan Persediaan Minyak Mentah EIA EIA Laporan persediaan AMDAL terbaru akan dirilis pada hari Rabu tanggal 9 November pukul 10.30 EST. . Harga minyak telah menjadi fokus besar minggu ini dengan selisih lebih dari 8 karena sentimen keseluruhan telah melemah tajam. Ada kekhawatiran yang meningkat seputar kemampuan OPEC untuk memberikan pengurangan produksi pada pertemuan akhir November. Data persediaan terbaru juga memiliki dampak penting dalam mengurangi kepercayaan diri dengan rekor kenaikan mingguan 14,4 juta barel dalam rilis mingguan terbaru. Data minggu ini akan diawasi dengan ketat dan pembangunan substansial lainnya akan mengurangi sentimen. Sebaliknya, akan ada beberapa kelegaan penting jika ada undian pada saham dalam data. Komentar dari anggota OPEC juga akan menjadi fokus penting selama seminggu setelah laporan pada hari Jumat bahwa pejabat Saudi telah mengancam untuk meningkatkan produksi jika Iran menolak untuk melakukan skala cadangan rencana produksi. Pejabat OPEC perlu menunjukkan komitmen serius terhadap pengurangan produksi untuk mengembalikan kepercayaan pasar setelah pemukulan yang diterima minggu ini. Ada kemungkinan kuat volatilitas tinggi selama sepekan. Lihat kalender ekonomi penuh kami untuk pertemuan sehari-hari dengan berbagai kegiatan ekonomi utama. Selamat Datang di Sinyal Forex 35pip Gratis Kami adalah layanan sinyal forex. Kami mengirim Sinyal Forex Gratis dan Sinyal Live Forex. Kinerja kami dalam 12 bulan terakhir sekitar 1000 pips per bulan. Kami trading di akun live. Sinyal Forex dan Sinyal Forex kami dikirim langsung dari akun live. Kami mengirimkan sinyal forex kami melalui email dan oleh EA. Kami trading forex sejak tahun 2006 - tentu saja kami tidak sempurna tapi kami selalu ingin memberikan layanan yang adil. Kami bangga telah memiliki lebih dari 2000 anggota aktif dan terdaftar. Silahkan mendaftar secara gratis dan memutuskan sendiri - kami akan berusaha memberikan yang terbaik untuk Anda. Tidak ada satu indikator teknis yang berlaku sama baik untuk pasar tren dan non-tren. Untuk alasan ini, sulit untuk menjawab pertanyaan yang tak terelakkan dari klien: apa indikator terbaik Anda Cara saya menangani pertanyaan ini adalah dengan menyediakan template yang mencakup tiga indikator teknis: osilator stochastic, indikator MACD, dan garis perbandingan kekuatan relatif , Menciptakan apa yang saya yakini sebagai visual terbaik untuk mengevaluasi bagan harga. Kombinasi dari ketiga indikator ini memberikan bias terarah dengan kepercayaan diri di pasar tren dan non-tren, sesuatu yang tidak dapat dicapai oleh indikator tunggal dengan mudah. Klik di sini untuk memesan salinan Tren VXX berikut Strategi hari ini dan jadilah salah satu pedagang pertama yang memanfaatkan strategi unik ini. Buku panduan ini akan membuat Anda menjadi trader yang lebih baik dan lebih hebat. 1. Oscillator Stokastik Osilator stochastic adalah alat teknis umum yang mengirimkan pesan jenuh beli atau oversold, sangat membantu di pasar non-tren. Rentang perdagangan biasanya memiliki karakteristik momentum netral, jadi kita harus beralih ke indikator overboughtoversold untuk membantu mengidentifikasi entri berisiko rendah dan keluar. Kami telah menemukan stochastics 12-3-3 untuk menghasilkan jumlah sinyal yang diinginkan, mendaftarkan pembacaan oversold (atau sinyal beli) ketika dua garis yang terdiri dari crossover osilator di bawah 20, dan pembacaan overbought (atau sinyal jual) ketika mereka Crossover di atas 80. Stochastics tidak kehilangan validitas dalam lingkungan yang sedang tren, namun interpretasinya menjadi lebih subjektif. 2. Indikator MACD Indikator MACD mengirimkan sinyal objektif mengikuti tren yang paling sesuai, alami, dalam lingkungan yang tren atau momentum. Dengan menggunakan parameter standar 12-26-9, crossover bullish terjadi saat garis sinyal melintasi garis MACD dalam indikasi tertinggal dari perputaran, dan sebaliknya untuk crossover bearish. Seringkali, stochastics telah memberi sinyal perputaran sebelum dikonfirmasi oleh indikator MACD, menjadikannya indikator komplementer. Sinyal beli terbaik sepertinya terjadi ketika momentum positif berdasarkan sifat tren dari indikator MACD, dan stochastics berada di dekat level jenuh jual. 3. Analisis Perbandingan Relatif Kekuatan Setelah bias arah diturunkan dari indikator stochastics dan MACD, analisis perbandingan kekuatan relatif dapat digunakan untuk memberikan kepercayaan tambahan. Garis perbandingan kekuatan relatif hanyalah rasio harga terhadap harga, sering diterapkan pada saham relatif terhadap sektor atau indeks utama (i. ECELG versus BTK). Garis dapat dievaluasi dengan cara yang sama seperti harga, menggunakan trendlines atau simple moving averages. Garis kekuatan relatif naik akan menambah kepercayaan terhadap bias bullish, menunjukkan instrumen keuangan yang mendasarinya siap untuk mengungguli indeks yang dibandingkan dengan itu, dan sebaliknya. Sayangnya, kami tidak dapat menghilangkan subjektivitas dari analisis teknis, namun kami telah menemukan tiga indikator yang dijelaskan di atas memberikan bias arah yang kuat yang memiliki hasil lebih baik daripada satu indikator tunggal dengan keluaran yang obyektif. Katie Stockton adalah Chief Market Technician di MKM Partners LLC. Sebelum bergabung dengan MKM, Mrs. Stockton bekerja sebagai pedagang hedge fund berbasis di New York, Ulysses Management dan merupakan analis penerbitan untuk grup strategi teknis Morgan Stanleys. Backtested pada lebih dari 17.000 perdagangan menguji indikator perdagangan baru untuk ETF Leveraged dan menemukan kemungkinan pemasangan probabilitas tinggi setiap hari di sini sekarang. Forex No Deposit BonusForex. : Id Bonus Deposit: jp. : Zh. : Setelah 50 poin bonus selesai, jika akun memiliki keuntungan yang ada di dalamnya, pelanggan mungkin berhak menarik keuntungan dari akun dengan ketentuan berikut: Nasabah perlu menyetorkan dana sendiri ke rekening sebesar sama dengan Jumlah ekuitas akun dan menyelesaikan jumlah lot penuh sama dengan jumlah deposit dibagi 20. Apakah Anda mencari pekerjaan Investment Banking baru di Manchester atau daerah sekitarnya Banking Jobs UK dapat membantu Anda menemukan pekerjaan yang Cocok dengan profilmu Kami memiliki berbagai macam pekerjaan Investment Banking Manchester yang tersedia. Gaji: sampai 22.000 per tahun Lokasi: Manchester, Greater Manchester Jenis Pekerjaan: Tanggal Tetap Diposting: 11-Nov-2015 00: 00Save job Kami memiliki kesempatan yang menarik bagi Executive Finance untuk bergabung dengan tim kami yang berbasis di Manchester. Perannya adalah purna waktu, posisi tetap menawarkan gaji hingga 22.000. Kami akan mempertimbangkan Graduate Keuangan atau Matematika yang akan tertarik untuk belajar CIMA ACCA atau kualifikasi Akuntansi. Sehubungan dengan ACCA CIMA. Artikel ini diambil dari majalah YourTradingEdge (edisi MAYJUN 2011). Jay Richards adalah spesialis penyebaran di masa depan di Aliom Financial Markets. Dia memiliki dan mengoperasikan Just Spreads, sebuah situs web yang didedikasikan untuk menyediakan peluang perdagangan, analisis pasar, pembaruan harian dan pendidikan lanjutan di seluruh kelompok pilihan spread berjangka AS dan Australia. Spread trading bisa memberikan trading edge. Jay Richards menunjukkan caranya. Perdagangan spread secara tradisional telah diterapkan ke futures. Strategi ini mengharuskan trader untuk memegang posisi panjang dan short secara simultan di pasar yang sama atau terkait erat. Sejak diperkenalkannya CFD, saham yang bisa disebarkan diperdagangkan ini biasa disebut sebagai pair trading. CFD memungkinkan pedagang untuk menjual atau menjadi saham pendek dengan cara leverage yang serupa dengan kontrak futures. Dalam setiap contoh, pedagang hanya tertarik pada selisih harga antara dua kontrak, berlawanan dengan harga langsung dari futures atau saham yang mendasarinya. Jelajahi Rencana Bisnis Pendidikan dan Pelatihan: ArtSphere, sebuah galeri seni mapan, akan membuka sebuah sekolah seni, mengajarkan pelajaran dan menjual bahan dan persediaan. Tujuan yang paling penting adalah berhasil menembus pasar waktu A. M.-3 P. M.. Karena sektor pasar sore sudah hampir penuh, tujuan sekunder adalah mengisi jam malam (Senin - Kamis) 7:30 P. M. - 9:30 P. M Pelajari lebih lanjut tentang rencana ini. Markam Driving School (MDS) menawarkan berbagai layanan pengemudi. Pada akhirnya, tujuan perusahaan menjadi fasilitas satu atap untuk semua kebutuhan pengemudi, termasuk pendaftaran, perizinan, dan lain-lain. Tetapi pada saat ini Markam terutama menawarkan pendidikan pengemudi swasta dan komersial. MDS diposisikan sebagai fasilitas berbiaya rendah dengan layanan prima. Pelajari lebih lanjut tentang rencana ini. Gelar Ketiga I. D. membantu perusahaan, universitas, sekolah dan kelompok perawatan kesehatan merancang dan menerapkan program e-learning yang memenuhi standar akreditasi. Pendiri memiliki pengalaman desain pendidikan dan software selama bertahun-tahun. Mereka akan menciptakan kerangka kerja yang dapat digunakan kembali yang memanfaatkan konten yang ada, atau membantu kelompok pendidikan dan perusahaan membuat kursus online baru. Pelajari lebih lanjut tentang rencana ini. Tari UMe akan menawarkan tarian pribadi dan tari untuk sosial melalui penari tingkat kompetitif. Tari UMe juga akan memberi tempat bagi para penari untuk menggunakan ketrampilan yang telah mereka pelajari, dengan mengadakan pesta dansa mingguan serta tarian musiman. Tingkatkan penjualan dengan mantap setiap bulan sampai tahun fiskal sampai tahun 2009 dan pertahankan pertumbuhan tahunan 15 per tahun. Pelajari lebih lanjut tentang rencana ini. Senam Jump-Start akan menawarkan tumbling, perkenalan senam, dan instruksi senam kompetitif tingkat rendah untuk anak-anak di Bouncetown, Michigan. Di bawah bimbingan Bea Flip dan Wanda Bounce yang berpengalaman, anak-anak dari balita ke sekolah menengah atas akan bersenang-senang, belajar keterampilan, dan meningkatkan kemampuan atletik mereka dalam lingkungan yang aman dan asuh. Pelajari lebih lanjut tentang rencana ini. InteliChild, sebuah start up berbasis internet menawarkan situs cerdas dan cerdas dimana anak-anak 8-12 dapat bermain dan belajar. Proyek e-commerce InteliChild adalah evolusi alami untuk kehadiran Internet InteliChild. Situs memasarkan dan menjual mainan, buku, dan produk perangkat lunak yang dipilih. Ini juga akan menghasilkan produk Web dan aplikasi Web. Pelajari lebih lanjut tentang rencana ini. Layanan Bimbingan Belajar Bryans menawarkan layanan les untuk berbagai macam mata pelajaran. Perusahaan saat ini merupakan perusahaan perseorangan, namun bisnis tersebut berencana mengubah bentuk organisasinya menjadi LLC dalam satu atau dua tahun ke depan. Target pasar sekolah bisnis memiliki tiga subkelompok: klien kuantitatif, klien non kuantitatif, dan siswa internasional. Pelajari lebih lanjut tentang rencana ini. Coaching Company adalah awal baru dari konsultasi konsultasi manajemen nasional. Owneroperator akan menjalankan seminar dan pembinaan satu lawan satu untuk para pemimpin bisnis kecil dengan bantuan dari organisasi nasional. Perusahaan telah memeriksa proyeksi keuangannya secara ketat dan menyimpulkan bahwa keduanya konservatif dalam keuntungan dan murah hati dalam pengeluaran. Pelajari lebih lanjut tentang rencana ini. Situs One Week At A Time mendidik orang tentang bagaimana membantu Bumi dan mengurangi dampak lingkungan mereka, menyelesaikan tugas seminggu selama 52 minggu. Tugas sederhana dan menunjukkan kepada orang-orang betapa mudahnya perubahan kecil dalam kehidupan mereka membuat perbedaan di dunia mereka. Aliran pendapatan berasal dari komisi produk ramah lingkungan yang sesuai dengan kiat mingguan kami. Pelajari lebih lanjut tentang rencana ini. ScholarshipAssist membantu mahasiswa yang terikat perguruan tinggi dengan mencari uang beasiswa mereka. ScholarshipAssist mampu meningkatkan jumlah penghargaan bagi siswa yang memiliki beasiswa atau dapat meningkatkan kemungkinan pemberian beasiswa bagi mereka yang berada di garis batas penerimaan. ScholarshipAssist mengelola database beasiswa yang tersedia. Pelajari lebih lanjut tentang rencana ini. Advanced Linguistic Pontificators adalah perusahaan seminar dan program pelatihan terkemuka. 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FoodFun telah mengidentifikasi empat segmen pasar yang berbeda yang akan tertarik pada produk perangkat lunak pusat kehidupan mandiri, sekolah, orang tua yang proaktif, dan agensi. Pelajari lebih lanjut tentang rencana ini. Kids Community College menyediakan layanan penitipan anak utama. Kurikulum berbasis perguruan tinggi yang maju dan staf superior dirancang untuk meningkatkan metodologi tradisional dan mengintegrasikan minat ekstrakurikuler ke dalam program komprehensif. Pemilik menempatkan investasi signifikan dalam bisnis, dan mencari jumlah yang sesuai dalam pinjaman SBA. Pelajari lebih lanjut tentang rencana ini. Tempat Ibu akan menyediakan berbagai layanan lengkap, termasuk kelas pengasuhan anak dan anak, program bermain anak-anak, kelas Mommy Me, kelas pra-natal kebugaran dan yoga dan pesta ulang tahun yang terkoordinasi, untuk membantu memenuhi kebutuhan emosional, fisik dan sosial sehari-hari. Menjadi kebutuhan ibu, anak kecil dan anggota keluarga lainnya. 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The forex markets are global markets where currencies are traded. The forex market is the worlds largest financial market in convertible currency trading with an daily average currency trading value that exceeds 1 trillion and includes currencies from around the world. The highest percentage of forex trading in the forex markets is attributed to individual forex traders and institutional forex speculators. There is no one central forex marketplace or location for currency exchange forex trading is conducted over-the-counter. The forex market is open 24 hours a day, five days a week and currencies are traded worldwide among major financial centers located in New York, London, Paris, Tokyo, Zurich, Frankfurt, Singapore, Sydney and Hong Kong. In total cash traded, the forex market is the largest financial market in the world. Participants in the forex markets consist of any person, forex trader, firm or country. The foreign exchange market ( forex aka FX ) is one of the most exciting, fast-paced financial markets available. Forex trading in the currency market had once been the domain of central banks, large financial institutions, hedge funds, corporations and extremely wealthy individuals or forex traders. The emergence of the Internet has made it possible for even the average forex investor or forex trader to buy and sell currencies with the click of a mouse through online forex brokers for online forex trading. With the fluctuations of daily forex currencies usually minimal, most forex currency pairs move less than one cent per day. This movement in the forex market represents less than 1 change in the value of a forex currency. This minute movement makes the forex exchange one of the least volatile financial markets around the world. Due to this limited movement, many forex traders and currency speculators rely on the availability of enormous leverage to increase the value of potential currency movements. Leverage in the retail forex market can be as high as 250:1. Higher leverage in the forex market can be extremely risky. Because of the global, round-the-clock trading of forex with deep liquidity, forex brokers have been able to make high leverage an industry standard in order to make the movements meaningful for forex currency traders. Extreme liquidity and availability of high leverage for currency trading have helped spur the forex markets rapid growth and make it the ideal place for forex traders. Forex positions can be opened and closed within minutes or can be held for months if so desired, by the forex trader or forex traders. Currency prices are based on objective considerations of supply and demand and cannot be manipulated easily because the size of the forex market does not allow even the largest players, such as central banks, to move prices at will. The forex market provides ample opportunity for forex investors and forex traders. However in order to be successful, a forex trader must understand the basics behind forex trading as well as the movements of the forex market. Forex Trading, Market Risks In order for a forex trader to engage in forex trading they must first contract a forex broker and must have access to a forex trading platform, if they wish to execute forex trades. Forex traders or forex investors will be required to sign a risk disclaimer at the time they open a forex trading account. Forex traders will not be able to establish a forex trading account without signing a forex trading risk disclaimer. The forex trading account disclaimer will specifically spell out the potential risk associated with forex trading. Although the forex trading risk disclaimer is often in fine print, it is imperative that at no time, should a forex trader not read the agreement in its entirety. With the signing of the forex trading disclaimer, the forex trader acknowledges they read and understand risk involved in forex trading. Risk and matters to take into consideration when deciding to trade the forex markets include making the decision to begin trading forex markets while forex trading. A forex trader must be certain to have efficient equipment and enough speed to handle forex data. Forex day trading education is essential for all individuals interested in forex trading. Development of an individual forex traders trading strategy takes time, focus and determination however, no forex trader should consider placing a live trade without one. Financial losses will occur, when trading the forex market. A key to success for any forex trader is their ability to handle and control losses they realize while trading the forex. Forex Trading Online, Tools of the Trade As with any skill - access to and the quality of tools used, will impact results. The speed at which you access the Internet will have an adverse affect on your forex trading. Unsatisfactory Internet speed will have a negative impact on your forex trading performance. Regardless of your forex trading platform or the forex trading provider you select, Internet access and the overall speed of your Internet, is not within the forex platforms control. The age of your computer equipment, your Internet providers service and speed may affect even your ability to access your forex trading platform. Poor Internet access may interfere with entering and exiting forex trades. Consider investing in a reliable computer and at least 2 or more monitors ( if you cant afford at least 2 monitors you should not be trading forex ). At no cost should you skimp on your Internet service. Speed of data downloaded on your computer from your trading platform is vital, with no data there is no forex trading. There are a variety of services provided from various forex brokers just as the forex trading platforms will vary in their ease of use, access to forex training, leverage exposures as well as pip spreads that are the difference between the buy and sale prices (bid and ask). Although switching forex brokers is not a guarantee of improved profitability, there may be times when switching forex brokers may result in an improvement is some manner of your forex trading strategy. Successful Forex Trading is a Skill Risk levels need to be addressed with your approach to forex trading due to the significant influence of risk involved. The forex traders approach at forex trading should not be a game of gambling or luck but, systematically determined probabilities that enable the potential of profitability on a specific forex trade. Successful forex trading of the forex market is not developed overnight or by participating in some weekend forex trading conference. In order to achieve successful forex trading it is best to develop your forex trading strategy based upon principles you have set for your forex trading methods as well as at all times, monitoring the performance of your broker to assure that you do indeed, have the best forex broker that you can find. Serious forex traders understand that while forex education will not guarantee success at forex trading however, forex trading education is a vital ingredient in attempting to reduce unnecessary losses as well as improving your forex trading mentality. Attempting to Control the Unpredictable when Day Trading the Forex Market Forex trading is a volatile trading method and the forex markets are very sensitive to overall global market conditions - including political activities in countries around the world. Economic data reports as well as the anticipation prior to the release of the same, can create increased volatility in the forex markets. International bank rate changes, employment levels, consumer spending as well as the gross domestic products can create increased volatility in the forex markets. During the time prior to the release of important data, forex traders may see increased movement or volatility in the forex markets. Even though there are times when there appears to be just the right conditions for opportunities for potential mass profits, the risks involved should never be overlooked while forex trading. Activity acted upon by a forex trader may be based on a forex trading strategy they developed, in an effort to predict how a majority of forex traders will react to various global market actions. Serious forex traders may back-test various forex trading strategies, in an effort to develop a more perfected forex trading method. Stop losses, profit limits per trade or for the forex trading day, forex trading strategies for a particular entry and exit, timing of placing and exiting a forex trade - all are key factors that a professional forex trader takes into account - even before they complete the entry to any forex trade. Some forex traders will attempt to develop a mathematical probability that a particular forex trade will work. Other forex traders base their decision to make a particular forex trade based on various global activities that are occurring as well as their actual unpredictable outcome - unless of course, that forex trader has a crystal ball The one thing that must be mastered to even begin the long road toward a successful forex trading career is discipline. Discipline is needed to even attempt to control your forex trading methods. Prior to the wise forex trader making any forex trade, that forex trader must recognize their forex trading limits, forex trading ability and experience in order to react to the potential risk exposure - discipline which is a skill retained by disciplined forex traders. Psychology of Forex Trading The true psychology involved in forex trading begins with the forex trader setting a stop loss on a forex trade and meaning it. Even though the real purpose of a stop loss is for it to never be triggered however when that stop loss does kick in, instant physiological stress responses kick in as well as the ranting, raving and depression. This is not a good sign of stop loss management. The true purpose of a stop loss is that it provides a sound risk management tool used to protect equity should a forex trade go against you and forex trades will go against you. If you are not prepared financially or emotionally to take a stop loss on a forex trade you should stop trading forex, now. For a forex trader to set and stick to a set stop loss, is a key tool toward perfecting the skill of risk management, in itself. Entries should not be taken on a potential forex trade just because the forex trade looks very good in probability but, the entry opportunity creates poor risk-to-reward ratio. When a forex trader makes a trade that leads to a loss, aside from the initial financial loss experienced, occasionally that forex investors will begin to experience psychological challenges of depression, a sense of failure as well as potential other negative feedback that are not the best way to respond to a known risk in forex trading. If your personality or financial stamina is not well suited for handling losses when trading forex, then forex trading is not a good investment vehicle for you. Its possible for any trader to hit a grand slam while trading the forex markets. The true test for the professional forex trader is the ability to trade tomorrow realizing that one days gain does not guarantee a profitable tomorrow. No two trading days will present the same trading opportunity. The wise forex trader refreshes the skills they developed in an effort to see yet another, profitable forex trading day. 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K. and Switzerland. The shares fell after the strategy announcement by Thiam, 53, the chief executive officer recruited in July to rebuild investor confidence in a bank struggling with tougher capital demands and record-low interest rates. The plan didnt spell out details of how the company will more than double profit in Asia and Thiam said he would not provide a target for profitability because only a fool would commit to something he cant control. Theres still a lot of uncertainty over this strategy, said Lutz Roehmeyer, who helps manage 11 billion euros (12.8 billion) at LBB Invest in Berlin. You cant yet say what the growth is going to look like and where its really going to come from. I just dont know if wealth management really is the panacea. The shares dropped as much as 5.2 percent and were 3.9 percent lower as of 4:36 p. m. in Zurich. The STOXX Europe 600 Banks Index fell 0.8 percent. Credit Suisse will raise 6.05 billion Swiss francs (6.3 billion) by selling 1.35 billion francs of stock to select shareholders and 4.7 billion francs of shares to existing investors as regulators in Switzerland prepare to require larger capital buffers. The company assumes that Switzerland will raise its leverage ratio to 5 percent, Thiam told reporters. He didnt say more about who the select investors were. We are rebooting the company, we are solving our capital issues, Thiam, 53, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. One of our objectives coming in was to take capital off the table to raise enough capital so that this would not be again a topic of conversation at quarterly results. The bank on Wednesday said third-quarter profit fell, missing analyst estimates, in part because of a bigger-than-expected drop in handling clients money, the business the company wants to expand. The bank will take a substantial impairment charge in the fourth quarter as it writes down goodwill in the investment bank, Chief Financial Officer David Mathers told investors in London. Credit Suisse aims to sell 20 percent to 30 percent of its Swiss bank in an IPO by 2018, estimating the sale would raise between 2 billion francs and 4 billion francs. The IPO would allow Credit Suisse to buy private banks that will probably come up for sale, Thiam said. The goal is to create a bank focused on wealthy private, corporate and institutional clients, it said. Credit Suisse aims to return to investors 40 percent of the excess capital expected to reach 23 billion francs to 25 billion francs by 2020. The payout is low and will be seen as disappointing, according Nomura Holdings Inc. analysts led by Jon Peace. As part of a broad reorganization that includes a management shakeup, Credit Suisse will cut 3.5 billion francs in costs by the end of 2018. The bank is creating three regionally-focused divisions and dividing the securities unit into a markets business and an investment banking operation to be run by Tim OHara and Jim Amine. Credit Suisse named Helman Sitohang and Iqbal Khan among six new board members as Gael de Boissard, Hans-Ulrich Meister and Robert Shafir step down. Credit Suisse said it will begin by shrinking its capital-intensive macro business down to about a quarter of its size by the end of the year while cutting in half the amount of risk-weighted assets at the prime services unit, which caters to hedge funds. The markets reaction is. Yes, we like what youre doing, but show us the money, Andrew Parry, head of equities at Hermes Investment Management, told Bloomberg Television. Theyll have to deliver on that. Net income in the third quarter decreased 24 percent to 779 million francs from a year earlier. The average estimate of seven analysts in a Bloomberg survey was for 858 million francs. Net revenue from fixed-income sales and trading plunged 53 percent to 674 million francs as extreme dislocations in credit markets resulted in lower client activity, the bank said. Private banking and wealth management posted 647 million francs in pretax profit, down 31 percent, Credit Suisse said. That missed an average estimate of 896 million francs. Clients trades less and trading and commissions fell, the bank said. Credit Suisse struck a deal allowing Wells Fargo Co. to hire the Swiss lenders private-bank employees in the U. S. as the firm retreats from managing wealth in the country. Thiam was brought into the bank as CEO to downsize the investment bank, grow in Asia and better control costs, Dirk Becker, an analyst at Kepler Cheuvreux said in a note. He is delivering on all these expectations with the strategy announcement, but there is no tangible breakthrough on top of it. Option trading strategies john c hull. 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Market goldman sachs binary option market mac x forex trading hotforex how to win in binary options grid safest binary option sites 24 hour binary options robot erfahrung Most of the new comers to stock market and even some of the experienced traders are not aware of truth of the day trading. Day Trading in stock market is all about managing risk, nothing works 100 accurate. Even if you have a trading system which generates 99 of success, there is always a certain chance and probability to lose in day trading. Day Trading Requirement Day trading requires whole market awareness and try to get latest updates on stocks, companies and its related news, very important is to get market direction (either positive or negative). Day Trading Monitoring Financial Television channels provide all latest buzz on stocks, news, markets and companies. This will really helps for day trader to enter and exit on news based stocks. Day Trading Caution Day trading cant be done based on single technical charting or based on only technical software. Market awareness is must to exceed in day trading. There is no any technique or calculation to earn in day trading. Very importantly - Market experience is required to get success in day trading. New comers to stock markets should be very careful, but in fact they must avoid it unless and until they gain proper knowledge. Important Strategy to Follow by Day Trader As you are doing day trading you have to book profits on low margins and do multiple trades because you never know when markets turns back, so book profit and get ready for another trade unless you are 100 sure of the trade and market direction. Remember Before you Start your Day Trading 1. Buying and selling or selling and then buying (which are called as short selling) are two basic trades done in day trading. 2. Before you decide to do any one of the trade you have to find out the direction of the market. - Its not possible to find this 100 accurate. For example - Indian stock markets will open mostly based on the situation on Asian markets and Asian markets in turn will open based on USA markets. This is not any hard and fast rule but it is observed most of the time. Truth of Day Trading Most of the day traders get success by avoiding over trading. For example - If you have RS 5000 then brokerage firms provide margin on your amount, means you can trade 4 times (margin percentage varies from broker to broker) more on your amount. But if you make use of margin amount then you have to square off your trade before market closes or some brokers provide two days time. This means even if your trade goes against you, you have to square off in loss. Now lets see other side - If you day trade only on your amount then there is no restriction for you to square off because you are not using any margin amount provided by your broker. Now suppose if market turns back and you are in loss then you can take them in delivery and hold them as long as you wish or till that scrip goes up. Day Trading Techniques Buy near open price If possible try to buy shares below open price, or at open price. Dont buy shares if price is gone very high then open price, wait for the price to come down near open price and then buy that stock. Check buying volumes Before buying check out the buying and selling quantity (volumes). If buying volume started increasing then the stock may go up. Check derivative status If possible try to check out the derivative of the stock which you want to buy. If derivative of that particular stock is going up with increasing buying volumes then you can immediately grab (buy) that sharestock. Most of the time it is seen that if the derivative goes up, then its stock or share also goes up. Wait for the target price to buy For example, if buy is given at 150.5 then dont buy below this price, only buy at 150.5 price or slightly higher then price. Because the given buy price may be the resistance price, if it breaks then share price goes up or else may not go up above 150.5. So plan to buy at given targeted price, dont buy below target price. Strictly maintain Stop Loss Strictly maintain the given stop losses. This will help you to prevent from huge loss. Suppose, for moment the sharestock what you bought falls drastically down, then you may end up with huge loss. So always maintain given stop loss. Stop Loss will reduce your loss. Down wait for huge profit in single stock If you are getting some profit and if you notice that is not further moving up (its called consolidation) then you have to sell your sharestock and come out of that trade. 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How to generate profits in day trading Generating profits in day trading is not easy at all. Generating profits requires experience, dedication and study. - Experience about markets reading and analysis - Dedication to keep self updated on daily basis about domestic and international news, company updates, government news etc - Daily study of new things about and interpret them. 1. Understand the truth of day trading a) According to our experience day trading is not possible for everyone because practical approach as well as some emotional factor plays very vital role in providing profits in day trading. So we generally advice to do paper trading practice and if you get success then proceed to do day trading with actual money. For paper trading practice please visit at Some practical approach a) Intraday stocks movements are purely based on market (traders) sentiments, so if you want to make profits then move in accordance with the flow and not against the flow. For example - IF the stock price is going up then buy and sell multiple times with small profits instead of waiting for big profits in single trade. On the other side if the stock price is going down then you can short sell and by at lower levels. If you do 2 to 3 trades with small profits then it is enough to start with day trading and once you gain experience then you can increase the capital as well as trades. b) Find stock direction, so it will be easy to make trades. The following are few links where we post stocks for day trading. Click on title to see the link - 3. How to reduce the losses In day trading the important thing is to generate small profits with very minimal losses. It is not possible to generate daily profits throught our month. For example if you do some losses today then you should have capital to do trading tomorrow and generate profits so reducing is very important. If you loose all your capital then you cant do trading tomorrow. 4. How to safeguardprotect your capital in day trading Protecting your capital (your trading amount) is very important to get success in share market. The following are few techniques to protect your capital - a) It is advisable to use only 50 of your trading amount for day trading and rest of the money is kept as backup. b) Till you become experienced trader, trade only with your amount without using margin amount this will help to reduce losses and safeguard your capital. c) Do paper trading practice - If you get success in paper trading practice then only you can start trading with actual money. d) Dont panic and act on any tips. e) Dont buy expensive trading software without testing them or without seeing the live demonstration. f) Trading in future derivatives and options requires extra expertise so new comers are not advised to start with these Day Trading Techniques The following are few important techniques to avoid or to reduce losses a) One way to reduce or avoid losses is to wait for right opportunity for trading rather doing trading for every rise and fall in the stock price. Emini Trading Strategies Tick Trader reg Professional Indicator Version 2 EminiTradingStrategies is proud to release ETS ProIndicatorV2 software ETS ProIndicatorV2 Software is an optional purchase for students of my Day Trading Course. Its a great trading tool as it knows all of our trade setups as well as our No-Zone rules. Whether you day trade the Emini SP or the Emini Dow Strategy, ProIndicatorV2 will be a great tool to trade with In our online emini trading course, we teach the setups, the rules, when to enter and when to exit. More importantly, we teach when not to take trades Having the discipline to not take trades is just as important as taking them This feature packed indicator will not only accelerate your learning curve, but also acts as an excellent visual aide illustrating the natural progression of our trade set-ups. We all want to be successful with our online day trading. ETS ProIndicatorV2 can help Let me show you a couple screen shots: Above, we have a screen shot of the Emini SP Market. On the bottom left hand corner is our Message Center which illustrates both real time and historical trade set-ups in addition to other pertinent information needed to successfully trade our methodology The green dots show our Long Normal System Entry trade. Notice the 3 blue bars as well just above the green dots. The red dots signal our Short NSE Trade. Notice the 3 red bars as well. Heres a screen shot of ProIndicatorV2 showing you when not to take day trades: Notice the yellow and orange back color. These colors correspond with existing rules taught in our SP Emini Day Trading Course. This is called No-Zone. During No-Zone we do not take our NSE Trade (Normal System Entry) as it is considered a lower probability trade. ProIndicatorV2 even suppresses the green and red dots for you as they are not valid during this time. In the chart above, we superimposed arrows where the long and short NSE trades would have signaled had they not been suppressed by our No Zone Of course, we teach the No Zone rules in our Emini Trading System, but the back coloring combined with the suppression of the NSE show me dots are a fantastic learning tool One of our favorite trading strategies is taking NSE trades when we come out of No Zone. These trades have a higher percentage win ratio over a standard NSE trade. We love to day trade the NSE coming out of No Zone, or take our EET, another day trading strategy taught in our online trading course. Heres a screen shot: The yellow back coloring again tells us to avoid NSE Trades. When the back coloring goes away, we are officially out of No Zone. The NSE that followed was a short trade and it was a winning trade Again, ETS ProIndicatorV2 shows all 3 of our trading strategies: NSE Trade EET Trade Pullback Trade. You can learn more about the ETS ProIndicatorV2 in the video below ProIndicatorV2 Introduction Video Lets shift gears for a moment and apply ProIndicatorV2 to a Dow Emini chart. Many students enjoy our Dow Emini System you can learn more about that here . Heres the Dow Emini chart: You may notice this Dow Emini chart looks a little different than the emini SP charts above. The ETS ProIndicatorV2 has some great features that work great using our Dow Emini Strategy . First, you will see 2 lines that flow with the market. These lines show us where we take our worst case entry on the trade On a short trade, for example, we want our fill above the lower line, and in a long trade the order would be placed below the line. You may also notice the P1P2P3 lines. These are Profit Targets (user defined) and act as a nice visual aid to define specific exit levels. The Dow Emini Market tends to trends more than the Emini SP market and we teach how to scale out of trades accordingly utilizing our Dow Strategy. The Profit Target lines plotted by ProIndicatorV2 are a nice touch Finally, you can also check out our live trading videos illustrating real trades, on a real trading account using ProIndicatorV2 by visiting our Day Trading Blog. As you can see, ETS ProIndicatorV2 is a great software program It truly is an incredible tool to help students of The Tick Trader Day Trading Course. ETS ProIndicatorV2 is designed for the NinjaTrader 6.5 Platform. ETS ProIndicatorV2 is sold on a permanent or a yearly lease For pricing information or to order ETS ProIndicatorV2 with The Tick Trader Day Trading Course, Go to our Order Page . Share this post: 2C208 The best resources for Amibroker AFL can be found via the Amibroker AFL library or one of the Amibroker yahoo forums. Here there are usually plenty of generous traders who are happy to share some of their code and give assistance if needed. I also provide code for 20 trading systems written in AFL with every purchase of my book or course and will be posting plenty of free AFL code here in the future so make sure to come back regularly. New to Amibroker Luckily writing AFL for Amibroker is fairly straightforward even for someone with no background in programming. If you are new to Amibroker I will recommend a piece of advice that I first received when on the Amibroker forum: Start off with end of the day data for US stocks and look for simple, robust systems. Everything you need from a good trading system can be found with EOD data and from here it should be possible to reach returns of 30 CAR a year with a little bit of work. From there you can start to work on even greater returns but remember higher returns will inherently mean higher risk. By end of day data I mean data that shows the high, low, open, and close from the trading day. Its far better to concentrate on daily or weekly systems and ignore day trading if you are new to the markets. And remember, no trading system can be created without good quality data. I recommend Norgate Premium Data and you can get a free trial of the service here . Writing AFL for Amibroker When you start writing Amibroker AFL its a good idea to begin with a kind of template that you can then use as the basis of several trading systems. I usually start off with something like this, (the set options can also be set in the Amibroker panel but its better to write them into the code): SetOption( InitialEquity, 10000) This one sets how much capital you have to trade e. G. 10,000 SetOption( UsePrevBarEquityForPosSizing, True ) Allows position size to be calculated using of previous bars funds. Can be turned on or off SetTradeDelays( 1, 1, 1, 1 ) Its usually not possible to trade on the exact moment that a signal occurs. So you can delay the buy, sell, short and cover entries by 1 (or more) bars. SetOption( MaxOpenpositions, 10) Sets the Maximum open positions you want at any one time. Ive set mine at 10 as I trade a portfolio of 10 stocks. Amibroker enters trades based on the signal rank also known as positionscore. If you hold short and long positions this variable allows them to be ranked separately so you dont end up favoring one direction over the other. SetOption (Maxopenlong, MOL) SetOption (Maxopenshort, MOS) This code allows a maximum of 10 long positions and 5 short positions at any one time. SetOption( AllowSameBarExit, True ) Allows trades to be closed on the same bar that the exit signal or stop signal occurs SetPositionSize( 1, spsShares ) This is the segment of code I use to set my positionsize or risk. -20 10 means my position size per trade is 20 of my account divided by 10. In other words, if I start with 10,000, my first trade will have a stock value of 200. To get the number of shares, you simply divide this number by the stock price. Eg, for a stock that is 12, I will buy 16 shares. Once thats in place its a good idea to define positionscore metrics and enter the formulas for any indicators you plan to use. Remember, positionscore determines the rank. If you have more than one trade signal, Amibroker will take the trade that is scored the highest. This is quite important, particularly if your system generates lots of signals on the same day bar. You can use any calculation you like. Here are some ideas: PositionScore RSI(14) 100 Prefers long positions with lower RSI values and short positions with high RSI PositionScore ATR(10) 100 Prefers long positions with smaller ATR (average true range) values PositionScore ROC(C,1) -1 Prefers long positions with lower ROC (rate of change) values Then you can enter your buy and sell conditions. When you write AFL for Amibroker its a good idea to keep everything organised so that you dont make any mistakes and you can easily understand it in the future. Heres a very simple moving average crossover example: Buy Cross(fastEMA, slowEMA) Buys when the 50 period EMA crosses over the 200 period EMA. Sell Cross(slowEMA, fastEMA) Sells when the 200 period EMA crosses under the 50 period EMA. Once you have tried this, you can set about optimising some of your parameters like below: When run, the optimiser will cycle through these values and present them in a table showing which ones performed the best. The numbers in brackets stand for (default setting, first iteration, final iteration, step). In other words the optimizer will first test the fastema with using the 25 setting, it will then keep testing at intervals of 25 until it gets to 200 where it stops. If you run the backtest without the optimiser, Amibroker uses the default (50) setting. After your buy and sell conditions you can enter code that plots your various indicators on the chart and any calculations that you may have with the equity curve. Its also a good idea to check out the resources from Amibroker for back-testing and portfolio testing here. Enjoy this post Youll love my free eBook, system code, free course. Just enter your email address below to download all. Unsubscribe at any time. Backtesting Engine Definition November 6th, 2008 by jackieannpatterson 1 Comment Filed in Glossary TradeStation Backtesting Engine At Work The Backtesting Engine is the core software doing the backtest. The backtesting engine applies the trading strategies to the historical price data to get a series of hypothetical trades and records the results. The outputs of the backtesting engine are typically performance statistics. I have added instrumentation to gather additional information about each trade for later analysis. Many backtesting engines are available commerically. Well-known platforms include TradeStation. Worden Blocks BackScanner. WeathLab. Amibroker. Many brokers such as TD Ameritrade offer backtesting engines for their customers. In spite of the wide availability of software, many traders dont backtest because of the huge amount of work it takes. Reading a Backtesting Report is much easier. In order to describe a trading system with no ambiguity or bias, you need to code your rules into a language a computer can decipher. The choice of which software to use for coding and backtesting has to be tackled early on in the process. A good choice will not only vastly increase your productivity, it will also allow you to backtest the broadest possible spectrum of strategies in the broadest asset classes. QiT chose Amibroker for a number of reasons: ease of use, APIs with numerous data providers, and as Howard Bandy, author of Introduction to Amibroker, writes, Amibroker is a powerful, comprehensive trading system development platform with cutting edge charting and graphics. It has a fast, flexible and powerful portfolio-level backtesting, optimization, and automated walk forward validation. If that is all gobblegook to you, suffice to say it has everything a retail system developer or quant trader will need. Amibrokers main purpose is to help investors and traders identify profitable opportunities to buy and sell or short and cover. It includes an extensive library of technical indicators that can be plotted along with the price chart as well as tested for profitability in a trading system. It has all the tools needed to chart, test, and trade stocks, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, commodities, and Forex. Amibrokers two primary modes of operation are charting and formula evaluation. In its charting mode, historical price and volume data are displayed, along with technical indicators, just like all other charting programs. In its formula evaluation mode the trader can evaluate hisher own trading ideas using patterns, conditions, and rules. These rules are programmed into a computer language and the program analyzes the price and volume data and reports on the profitability of the rules. When profitable trading systems have been found, it scans the group of stocks that are of interest to the trader and lists the current buy and sell signals. Nitrous Oxide (Laughing Gas) Oral Conscious Sedation Teeth Replacement in One Day Clear Correct Aligners Sleep Apnea 038 Snoring Money market trading strategies Binary Options Trading Platform umirs. br Market instruments. 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In individual bank . Kirkpatricks Four Level Evaluation Model Perhaps the best known evaluation methodology for judging learning processes is Donald Kirkpatricks Four Level Evaluation Model that was first published in a series of articles in 1959 in the Journal of American Society of Training Directors (now known as TD Magazine). The series was later compiled and published as an article, Techniques for Evaluating Training Programs. in a book Kirkpatrick edited, Evaluating Training Programs (1975). However it was not until his 1994 book was published, Evaluating Training Programs. that the four levels became popular. Nowadays, his four levels remain a cornerstone in the learning industry. While most people refer to the four criteria for evaluating learning processes as levels, Kirkpatrick never used that term, he normally called them steps (Craig, 1996). In addition, he did not call it a model, but used words such as, techniques for conducting the evaluation (Craig, 1996). The four steps of evaluation consist of: Step 1: Reaction - How well did the learners like the learning process Step 2: Learning - What did they learn (the extent to which the learners gain knowledge and skills) Step 3: Behavior - (What changes in job performance resulted from the learning process (capability to perform the newly learned skills while on the job) Step 4: Results - What are the tangible results of the learning process in terms of reduced cost, improved quality, increased production, efficiency, etc. Kirkpatricks concept is quite important as it makes an excellent planning, evaluating, and troubling-shooting tool, especially if we make some slight improvements as show below. Not Just for Training While some mistakenly assume the four levels are only for training processes, the model can be used for other learning processes. For example, the Human Resource Development (HRD) profession is concerned with not only helping to develop formal learning, such as training, but othe r forms, such as informal learning, development, and education (Nadler, 1984). Their handbook, edited by one of the founders of HRD, Leonard Nadler (1984), uses Kirkpatricks four levels as one of their main evaluation models. Kirkpatrick himself wrote, These objectives referring to his article will be related to in-house classroom programs, one of the most common forms of training. Many of the principles and procedures applies to all kinds of training activities, such as performance review, participation in outside programs, programmed instruction, and the reading of selected books (Craig, 1996, p294). Improving the Four Levels Because of its age and with all the new technology advances, Kirkpatricks model is often criticized for being too old and simple. Yet, almost five decades after its introduction, there has not been a viable option to replace it. And I believe the reason why is that because Kirkpatrick basically nailed it, but he did get a few things wrong: Motivation, Not Reaction When a learner goes through a learning process, such as an e-learning course, informal learning episode, or using a job performance aid, the learner has to make a decision as to whether he or she will pay attention to it. If the goal or task is judged as important and doable, then the learner is normally motivated to engage in it (Markus, Ruvolo, 1990). However, if the task is presented as low-relevance or there is a low probability of success, then a negative effect is generated and motivation for task engagement is low. In addition, research on reaction evaluations generally show that it is not a valid measurement for success (see the last section, Criticisms ). This differs from Kirkpatrick (1996) who wrote that reaction was how well the learners liked a particular learning process. However, the less relevance the learning package is to a learner, then the more effort that has to be put into the design and presentation of the learning package. That is, if it is not relevant to the learner, then the learning process has to hook the learner through slick design, humor, games, etc. This is not to say that design, humor, or games are unimportant however, their use in a learning process should be to promote or aid the learning process rather than just make it fun. And if a learning package is built of sound purpose and design, then it should support the learners in bridging a performance gap. Hence, they should be motivated to learn8212if not, something dreadfully went wrong during the planning and design processes If you find yourself having to hook the learners through slick design, then you probably need to reevaluate the purpose of your learning processes. Performance, Not Behavior As Gilbert noted (1998), performance is a better objective than behavior because performance has two aspects: behavior being the means and its consequence being the end. and it is the end we are mostly concerned about. Flipping it into a Better Model The model is upside down as it places the two most important items last8212results, and behavior, which imprints the importance of order in most peoples mind. Thus, by flipping it upside down and adding the above changes we get: Result - What impact (outcome or result) will improve our business Performance - What do the employees have to perform in order to create the desired impact Learning - What knowledge, skills, and resources do they need in order to perform (courses or classrooms are the LAST answer, see Selecting the Instructional Setting ) Motivation - What do they need to perceive in order to learn and perform (Do they see a need for the desired performance) This makes it both a planning and evaluation tool that can be used as a troubling-shooting heuristic (Chyung, 2008): Revised Evaluation Model The revised model can now be used for planning (left column) and evaluation (right column). In addition, it aids the troubling-shooting process. For example, if you know the performers learned their skills but do not use them in the work environment, then the two more likely troublesome areas become apparent as they are normally in the cell itself (in this example, the Performance cell) or the cell to the left of it: There is a process in the work environment that constrains the performers from using their new skills, or the initial premise that the skills selected for training would bring about change is wrong. The diagram below shows how the evaluation processes fit together: Learning and Work Environment As the above diagram shows, the Results evaluation is of the most interest to the business leaders, while the other three evaluations (performance, learning, and motivation) are essential to the learning designers for planning and evaluating their learning processes of course the Results evaluation is also important to them as it gives them a goal for improving the business. For more information, see Formative and Summative Evaluations . Level Four - Results Results or Impact measures the effectiveness of the initiative. Although it is normally more difficult and time-consuming to perform than the other three levels, it provides information that is of increasingly significant value as it proves the worth of a learning and performance process. However, using the Revised Evaluation model that is shown above should ease the process, as you will now have a clear picture of what you are trying to achieve. That is, when you plan for something then you more readily understand how to evaluate it. Motivation, Learning, and Performance are largely soft measurements however, decision-makers who approve such learning processes prefer results (returns or impacts). Jack Phillips (1996), who probably knows Kirkpatricks four levels better than anyone else does, writes that the value of information becomes greater as we go from motivation to results. That does not mean the other three levels are useless, indeed, their benefits are being able to locate problems within the learning package: The motivation evaluation informs you how relevant the learning process is to the learners (it measures how well the learning analysis processes worked). You may have all the other levels correct, but if the learners do not see a purpose for learning and performing, then they probably wont perform it. The Learning evaluation informs you to the degree of relevance that the learning process worked to transfer the new skills to the learners (it measures how well the design and development processes worked). The performance evaluation informs you of the degree that their skills actually transferred to their job (it measures how well the performance analysis process worked). The results evaluation informs you of the return the organization receives from supporting the learning process. Decision-makers normally prefer this harder result, although not necessarily in dollars and cents. For example, a study of financial and information technology executives found that they consider both hard and soft returns when it comes to customer-centric technologies, but give more weight to non-financial metrics (soft), such as customer satisfaction and loyalty (Hayes, 2003). Note the difference in information and returns. Motivation, Learning, and Result measurements give you information for improving and evaluating the learning process, which mostly concerns the learning designers while the Results measurement gives you the returns for investing in the learning process, which mostly concerns the business leaders. This Results measurement of a learning process might be met with a more balanced approach or a balanced scorecard (Kaplan, Norton, 2001), which looks at the impact or return from four perspectives: Financial: A measurement, such as an ROI, that shows a monetary return, or the impact itself, such as how the output is affected. Financial can be either soft or hard results. Customer: Improving an area in which the organization differentiates itself from competitors to attract, retain, and deepen relationships with its targeted customers. Internal: Achieve excellence by improving such processes as supply-chain management, production process, or support process. Innovation and Learning: Ensuring the learning package supports a climate for organizational change, innovation, and the growth of individuals. Showing the impact of learning is important as it allows the customer to know exactly how the learning process will bring positive results to the business. However, while the business units value the business linkage (impact or outcome) and evaluation (measurement) the most, learning departments often spend the least amount of time and resources on these two activities: Level Three - Performance This evaluation involves testing the learners capabilities to perform learned skills while on the job. These evaluations can be performed formally (testing) or informally (observation). It determines if the correct performance is now occurring by answering the question, Do people use their newly acquired skills on the job It is important to measure performance because the primary purpose of learning in the organization is to improve results by having its people learn new skills and knowledge and then actually applying them to the job. Since performance measurements must take place when they are doing their work, the measurement will typically involve someone closely involved with the learner, such as a supervisor or a trained observer or interviewer. Level Two - Learning This is the extent to which learners improve knowledge, increase skill, and change attitudes as a result of participating in a learning process. The learning evaluation normally requires some type of post-testing to ascertain what skills were learned during the process and what skills they already had. Measuring the learning that takes place is important in order to validate the learning objectives. Evaluating the learning that has taken place typically focuses on such questions as: What knowledge was acquired What skills were developed or enhanced What attitudes were changed Learner assessments are created to allow a judgment to be made about the learners capability for performance. There are two parts to this process: the gathering of information or evidence (testing the learner) and the judging of the information (what does the data represent). This assessment should not be confused with evaluation. Assessment is about the progress and achievements of the individual learners, while evaluation is about the learning program as a whole (Tovey, 1997). Level One - Motivation Assessment at this level measures how the learners perceive and react to the learning and performance process. This level is often measured with attitude questionnaires that are passed out after most training classes. Learners are often keenly aware of what they need to know to accomplish a task. If the learning process fails to satisfy their needs, a determination should be made as to whether its the fault of the learning process design or the learners do not perceive the true benefits of the process. When a learning process is first presented, rather it be eLearning, mLearning, classroom training, a job performance aid, or through a social media tool, the learner has to make a decision as to whether he or she will pay attention to it. If the goal or task is judged as important and doable, then the learner is normally motivated to engage in it (Markus, Ruvolo, 1990). However, if the task is presented as low-relevance or there is a low probability of success, then a negative effect is generated and motivation for task engagement is low. There are three problematic assumptions of the Kirkpatrick model: 1) the levels are not arranged in ascending order, 2) the levels are not causally linked, and 3) the levels are positively inter-correlated (Alliger and Janak, 1989). The only part of Kirkpatricks four levels that has failed to uphold to scrutiny over time is Reaction. For example, a Century 21 trainer with some of the lowest Level one scores was responsible for the highest performance outcomes post-training (level four), as measured by his graduates productivity. This is not just an isolated incident8212in study after study the evidence shows very little correlation between Reaction evaluations and how well people actually perform when they return to their job (Boehle, 2006). Rather than measuring reaction, what we are now discovering is that we should be pre-framing the learners by having their managers or informal leaders discuss the importance of participating in a learning process (on-ramping) and then following-up on them to ensure they are using their new skills (Wick et al. 2006), hence another reason for changing the term reaction to motivation. Kirkpatricks four levels treat evaluation as an end of the process activity, whereas the objective should be to treat evaluation as an ongoing activity that should begin during the pre-learning phase. Actually, this criticism is inaccurate. For example, The ASTD Training Development Handbook (1996), edited by Robert Craig, includes a chapter by Kirkpatrick with the simple title of Evaluation. In the chapter, Kirkpatrick discusses control groups before and after the training (such as pre and post-tests). He goes on to discuss that level four should also include a post-training appraisal three or more months after the learning process to ensure the learners put into practice what they have learned. Kirkpatrick further notes that he believes the evaluations should be included throughout the learning process by getting evaluations not only during each session or module, but also after each subject or topic. The four Levels are only for training process, rather than other forms of learning. As noted in the second section, Not Just for Training. Kirkpatrick wrote about being able to use the four levels in other types of learning processes and the Human Resource Development profession who help to deliver both informal and formal learning use Kirkpatricks four levels as one of their main evaluation models. Perhaps the real reason that informal learning advocates do not see the model being useful is because it was not invented here. The four levels of evaluations mean very little to the other business units One of the best training and development books is The Six Disciplines of Breakthrough Learning by Wick, Pollock, Jefferson, Flanagan (2006). They offer perhaps the best criticism that I have seen: Unfortunately, it is not a construct widely shared by business leaders, who are principally concerned with learnings business impact. Thus, when learning leaders write and speak in terms of levels of evaluation to their business colleagues, it reflects a learning-centric perspective that tends to confuse rather than clarify issues and contribute to the lack of understanding between business and learning functions. So it might turn out that the best criticism is not leveled at the four levels themselves, but rather the way we use them when speaking to other business leaders. We tell the business units that the level-one evaluations show the learners were happy and that level two show they all passed the test with flying colors, and so on up the line. Yet according to the surveys that I have seen, results or impact is rarely used, which the business leaders most highly value. The other levels of evaluation can be quite useful within the design process as they help us to discuss what type of evaluation we are speaking about and pinpoint troubled areas. However, outside of the learning and development department they often fall flat. For the most part, the business leaders main concern is the IMPACT 151did the resources we spent on the learning process contribute to the overall health and prosperity of the enterprise Pages in the Evaluation Phase Alliger, G. M. Janak, E. A. (1989). Kirkpatricks levels of training criteria: Thirty years later. Personnel Psychology. 42(2):331342. Chyung, S. Y. (2008). Foundations of Instructional Performance Technology. Amherst, MA: HRD Press Inc. Gilbert, T. (1998). A Leisurely Look at Worthy Performance. Woods, Gortada (eds). The 1998 ASTD Training and Performance Yearbook. New York: McGraw-Hill. Hayes, M. (2003). Just Whos Talking ROI Information Week. Feb. 2003, p18. Kirkpatrick D. L. (1959). Techniques for evaluating training programs. Journal of American Society of Training Directors. 13(3): pp2126. Kirkpatrick, D. L. (1975). Techniques for Evaluating Training Programs. Kirkpatrick (ed.). Evaluating training programs. Alexandria, VA: ASTD. Kirkpatrick, D. L. (1994). Evaluating Training Programs. San Francisco: Berrett-Koehler Publishers, Inc. Markus, H. Ruvolo, A. (1990). Possible selves: Personalized representations of goals. Pervin (ed). Goal Concepts in Psychology. Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum. pp 211241. Nadler, L. (1984). The Handbook Of Human Resource Development. New York: John Wiley Sons. Phillips, J. (1996). Measuring the Results of Training. The ASTD Training and Development Handbook. Craig, R. (ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill. Tovey, M. (1997). Training in Australia. Sydney: Prentice Hall Australia, p88. (Note: this is perhaps one of the best books on the ISD or ADDIE process) Wick, C. W. Pollock, R. V. H. Jefferson, A. K. Flanagan, R. D. (2006). The Six Disciplines of Breakthrough Learning. San Francisco, CA: Pfeiffer. Trading Stop Loss Strategy: Tight Stops vs Breathing Room What is the preferred trading stop loss strategy There are two schools of thought on this. You can use tight stops and take more small loses, or you can give your trades more room to breath at the expense of taking larger loses. Which strategy should you use In this article, I will try to highlight some of the benefits of both strategies, as well as give you some examples on when to use each one. Whether youre using a tighter or looser stop loss strategy, you should never risk more than you are willing to lose. I personally never risk more than 2 per trade. Many traders use .5 1 per trade, while very experienced traders often risk 3 or more per trade. Many traders adjust their stop loss strategies according to how risky they believe the trade to be. If you have good reason to believe a trade will continue in the direction you desire, it doesnt make sense to use a tight stop loss. Instead, you should opt for a little breathing room for your trade. If youre less sure that your trade will be a winner, you should opt for a tighter stop loss. Trading Stop Loss Strategy When to use a loose stop loss You may consider using a loose stop loss if you have good reason to believe a trade will move in your favor, but it may swing away from your entry point first. Another thing to consider is the condition of the market. If market conditions are trending sharply in one direction or another, a tight stop may not be necessary. What time frame are you trading on Positions that you plan to hold for a few days or weeks are usually bad candidates for a tight stop loss strategy. For investment or swing trades, a little breathing room is usually preferred. When to use a tight stop loss If you believe a trade could move in your favor but will definitely continue to move away from your entry point after it reaches a certain price, you should use the tightest stop your trade will allow. If the market is choppy or has no clear direction, you should use tight stops. You should also consider not trading in those conditions at all. If you are doing some quick day trading, a tighter stop loss strategy may be ideal. You may also want to consider using a tight stop if you are counter-trend trading. For instance, if youre taking a long position in a bearish market, you would want to use tighter stops than you could get away with if you were trend trading. Setting your trading stop loss strategy is an art. No two trades are the same, and different factors will affect your strategies on each trade. Ultimately, youll have to put in some screen time to see what works best for you. Getting stopped out is frustrating, but with practice and a good trading system (like Top Dog Trading ) you can learn to get stopped out less and less over time. . - FOREX 2010 . 15 2010 : 139 : 78 FOREX, FOREX . ,. . 4. FOREX. .
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